imc indymedia
white themeblack themered themetheme help
About Us Contact Us Subscribe Calendar Publish RSS
Features
latest news
best of news
syndication
commentary


KILLRADIO

CopWatch LA

ABCF LA





IMC Network: www.indymedia.org africa: ambazonia canarias estrecho / madiaq kenya nigeria south africa canada: hamilton london, ontario maritimes montreal ontario ottawa quebec thunder bay vancouver victoria windsor winnipeg east asia: burma jakarta japan korea manila qc europe: abruzzo alacant andorra antwerpen armenia athens austria barcelona belarus belgium belgrade bristol bulgaria calabria croatia cyprus emilia-romagna estrecho / madiaq euskal herria galiza germany grenoble hungary imc-london ireland istanbul italy la plana liege liguria lille linksunten lombardia madrid malta marseille nantes napoli netherlands nice norway oost-vlaanderen paris/ÃŽle-de-france patras piemonte poland portugal roma romania russia saint-petersburg scotland sverige switzerland thessaloniki torun toscana toulouse ukraine united kingdom valencia latin america: argentina bolivia chiapas chile chile sur cmi brasil colombia ecuador mexico peru puerto rico qollasuyu rosario santiago tijuana uruguay valparaiso venezuela venezuela oceania: adelaide aotearoa brisbane burma darwin jakarta manila melbourne perth qc sydney south asia: india mumbai united states: arizona arkansas asheville atlanta austin baltimore big muddy binghamton boston buffalo charlottesville chicago cleveland colorado columbus dc hawaii houston hudson mohawk kansas city la madison maine miami michigan milwaukee minneapolis/st. paul new hampshire new jersey new mexico new orleans north carolina north texas nyc oklahoma philadelphia pittsburgh portland richmond rochester rogue valley saint louis san diego san francisco san francisco bay area santa barbara santa cruz, ca sarasota seattle tampa bay tennessee urbana-champaign vermont western mass worcester west asia: armenia beirut israel palestine process: fbi/legal updates mailing lists process & imc docs tech volunteer projects: print radio satellite tv video regions: oceania united states topics: biotech
printable version - email this article - view hidden posts
link:

Not Another Post Election Analysis!
by Charlotte Laws, Ph.D. Sunday, Nov. 07, 2004 at 6:45 PM

Some pundits wave election, exit poll results and argue that America is a "red" country immersed in conservative "red values." But there are several factors they seem to overlook: 1) Nader voters statistically trumped Bush voters on the "moral values" question, 2) "personal financial situation" seemed to be a decisive factor in the presidential election, and 3) exit polls are notoriously flawed.

The truly faithful have faith in exit polls, and disbelievers, well, they will have to take No Doze, eat fistfuls of Oreos into the night, and drag their sleepy heads to work the next morning. The unfaithful usually give up around 3 am. If the concession speech has not been made by then, the conceder is probably asleep. He is dreaming, of course, of his future: the million dollar lecture tour and his role as a highly paid advisor for one of the corporations who owes him a favor. Wink, wink.

The exit poll, an appendage of the American election process, is rarely questioned. It could be called the greatest invention since the wearable dog house, the hijacker ejector seat, knee skates, and the arm mitten—all real inventions, by the way.

After all, it was an exit poll that reported Gore had won the election in 2000 and that Kerry would defeat Bush in 2004. Could the exit poll be the Democrat's retaliation against the Fox News Network? After all, both purport themselves to be "fair and balanced" in a delusional sort of way.

The exit poll's most recent finding was that a predominant number of people cast their votes based on the issue of "moral values" and most of them were Bush supporters. Many journalists have argued that the original question was flawed, detailing how "moral values" is not a real issue and how the coupling of "Iraq" with "Terrorism"—two other options on the questionnaire—garners a much higher percentage of votes. Namely 34%, rather than the meager 22% that "moral values" draws in the CNN poll.

This is a reasonable conclusion since a large number of Americans think Iraq and terrorism are intimately connected and that the missing weapons of mass destruction are their truant offspring. Perhaps the WMDs are thumbing rides through Syria, knocking over Zam Zam Cola stores in Iran, or making sleazy video tapes in Pakistan with you-know-who.

If you closely analyze the results of the exit polls, you will learn two things that the experts have missed: 1) It could be the economy, Stupid, and 2) Nader beat Bush in the "moral values" department, even though Nader voters don't necessarily scramble into church every week, cringe at notion of gay marriage, or preach about the evils of pot smoking.

I say it "could be" the economy because I am toppling all confidence in exit polls while simultaneously using their data to make this point. A bit schizophrenic, but I never argued I was fair or balanced.

Both the CNN and CBS exit polls found that those who said their financial situation was worse than four years ago tended to choose Kerry (79% in CNN), while those with a perception of an improved situation largely cast their votes for Bush (80% in CNN). Those who felt their finances were the same tended to pick Nader (the bulk of voters in CNN and 60% in CBS). This data is much more convincing than anything related to moral values.

On the controversial topic of values, the CBS News exit poll—the only one to tally the statistical responses of Nader voters--asked, "Which ONE issue mattered most in deciding how you voted for president?"

The result? For the "moral values" respondents, 8% were Kerry voters, 35% were Bush voters and a full 57% were Nader voters. Since Nader voters are not disproportionately social conservatives—both according to the same survey and common sense--the theory about the Reign of Middle American Values is flawed.

Millions of Blue subjects are not being pushed into the two oceans by their relativism; they simply live in their own kingdoms, ruled by their own belief systems. Nader voters probably place importance on things like protecting the environment, curtailing the gap between the rich and poor, and not waging war unilaterally in the Middle East. Although some may call these trivial issues as compared with protecting heterosexual marriage, they are indisputably values, too.

So the next time someone asks you, "What's black and white and Red all over?" Don't answer, "America" or "a newspaper."

Tell them, "A flawed exit poll." It is not really Red all over. Certain people just want you to think it is.
Report this post as:

add your comments


LATEST COMMENTS ABOUT THIS ARTICLE
Listed below are the 10 latest comments of 2 posted about this article.
These comments are anonymously submitted by the website visitors.
TITLE AUTHOR DATE
Oh, I get it. Sheepdog Sunday, Nov. 07, 2004 at 6:54 PM
Very funny & Interesting Data Carole Thomlinson Sunday, Nov. 07, 2004 at 7:53 PM

Local News

Queremos justicia: Pueblo rechazó presencia del alguacil Arpaio en Condado de Orange N06 9:13AM

Sit-in at Chancellor Yang's office to protest closure of Ventura Campus N05 10:49AM

Settlement Puts an End to Controversial Elephant Hill Development in Los Angeles N05 7:33AM

BREAKING: Wednesday, Nov 4, 7:45pm - Hundreds Marching in Silverlake for right to marry N04 7:46PM

Calling Long Beach Area Anarchists! N04 7:54AM

JFAV ACTION WEEK, NOVEMBER 8-14, 2009 N02 3:47PM

Checkpoints this weeked: Retenes este fin de semana (30-31/oct) O29 9:51PM

Fred Phelps Brings Road Show of Hate to San Diego; 500 Protest Against Him O29 7:10PM

Pension fund probe into possible bribery of former LA deputy mayor O29 6:02PM

Dr. Helen Caldicott Speaks in San Diego O29 5:50PM

Queer Democrats Endorse Alvarez, Wayne for City Council O29 5:41PM

Béla Dornon: Queer Photographer Seeks to Document California’s Same-Sex Marriages O29 5:30PM

Physician and Six Activists Are Arrested At CIGNA's Glendale, CA Offices O28 8:08PM

Physician and Six Activists Are Arrested At CIGNA's Glendale, CA Offices/ Video O28 7:35PM

BREAKING: 1pm - 10/28/09 - Healthcare Activists Stage Sit-in at Cigna offices, 7 Arrested O28 12:55PM

First in state Holistic Mom’s Network chapter celebrates 5th birthday O27 11:02PM

More footage of the Anti-Nazi protest O27 1:46AM

Sit-in at CIGNA insurance, 10am Wednesday, 10/28 O26 7:36PM

International Day of Climate Action in Eagle Rock (part 1) O26 7:09PM

International Day of Climate Action in Eagle Rock part 2 O26 6:30PM

Inland Empire Against Racial Hate (1-13) O26 1:44PM

Video footage of the Anti-Nazi protest O26 11:28AM

Immigrants Are Welcome Here. Nazis Are Not. (Photo set 3) O26 10:47AM

Immigrants Are Welcome Here. Nazis Are Not. (Photo set 2) O26 10:22AM

Immigrants Are Welcome Here. Nazis Are Not. O26 10:06AM

Indymedia Los Angeles 10th Anniversary Event! O26 9:55AM

NAZIS GO HOME! Spit and Swastikas Clash in Riverside O26 8:40AM

Nazis in Riverside O25 7:46PM

More Local News...

Other/Breaking News

GLOBAL TURN AROUND! N07 2:27PM

JFAV/ FIL-AMS ALL SET FOR VETERANS DAY PROTEST MARCH ON NOVEMBER 11 IN LA N07 12:26PM

NDF -EV URGES PEOPLE TO ACT ON UTILITIES CRISIS N07 11:58AM

PHILIPPINES; A CAPITALIST CALAMITY N07 10:25AM

~ BIGDADDYJAZZANDMAYA.COM ~ THE ATTEMPT TO DESTROY ONE LOCAL POORER AMERICAN FAMILY~! N07 9:13AM

~ BIGDADDYJAZZANDMAYA.COM ~ THE ATTEMPT TO DESTROY ONE LOCAL POORER AMERICAN FAMILY~! N07 9:05AM

BTL:Former Religious Right Activist Warns Against Incitement to Violence N07 4:00AM

Nov. 20-22 Mass Mobilization to Close the SOA N06 1:59PM

Honduran Accord Solidifies Coup E'Etat Rule N06 1:15PM

Democraticamente. FERNANDO LUGO, CONTINUADA DESHONRA PARA LA INVESTIDURA PRESIDENCIAL N06 11:42AM

National Resistance Against the Coup d’Etat Announces Boycott of Elections N06 10:35AM

Don't go N06 8:59AM

BTL:Civil Disobedience Actions Launched to Stop Mountain Top Removal N06 5:29AM

Diario Siglo XXI. FERNANDO LUGO, CONTINUADA DESHONRA PARA LA INVESTIDURA PRESIDENCIAL N06 12:44AM

Rivers Casino Supervisor Physically Assaults Casino Security Officer during Union Campaign N05 9:05PM

Obama is Absolutely Right to Re-evaluate Afghanistan Strategy N05 6:49PM

The Shortwave Report 11/06 Listen Globally! N05 5:02PM

The latest trend in eco-tourism is completely out of this world ... and right around the c N05 2:18PM

Comments from an Inmate N05 11:56AM

The High Risk Business of Banks N05 5:40AM

BTL:Karzai Government Corruption Hobbles Obama Afghan War Strategy N05 5:11AM

War Criminals and their agent control 344 Members of Congress. N05 1:29AM

EEUU SOBORNA CON ARMAS A FERNANDO LUGO N05 12:45AM

Reject Corporate Option for Health Care N04 7:55PM

Blog en solidaridad con el SME. México N04 1:58PM

House Resolution Designates Venezuela a State Sponsor of Terrorism N04 1:08PM

Pirates attack ship in eastern mediterranean N04 7:23AM

Profits=Investments=Jobs? N04 5:49AM

More Breaking News...
© 2000-2003 Los Angeles Independent Media Center. Unless otherwise stated by the author, all content is free for non-commercial reuse, reprint, and rebroadcast, on the net and elsewhere. Opinions are those of the contributors and are not necessarily endorsed by the Los Angeles Independent Media Center. Running sf-active v0.9.4 Disclaimer | Privacy