Working on this new server in php7...
imc indymedia

Los Angeles Indymedia : Activist News

white themeblack themered themetheme help
About Us Contact Us Calendar Publish RSS
Features
latest news
best of news
syndication
commentary


KILLRADIO

VozMob

ABCF LA

A-Infos Radio

Indymedia On Air

Dope-X-Resistance-LA List

LAAMN List




IMC Network:

Original Cities

www.indymedia.org africa: ambazonia canarias estrecho / madiaq kenya nigeria south africa canada: hamilton london, ontario maritimes montreal ontario ottawa quebec thunder bay vancouver victoria windsor winnipeg east asia: burma jakarta japan korea manila qc europe: abruzzo alacant andorra antwerpen armenia athens austria barcelona belarus belgium belgrade bristol brussels bulgaria calabria croatia cyprus emilia-romagna estrecho / madiaq euskal herria galiza germany grenoble hungary ireland istanbul italy la plana liege liguria lille linksunten lombardia london madrid malta marseille nantes napoli netherlands nice northern england norway oost-vlaanderen paris/Île-de-france patras piemonte poland portugal roma romania russia saint-petersburg scotland sverige switzerland thessaloniki torun toscana toulouse ukraine united kingdom valencia latin america: argentina bolivia chiapas chile chile sur cmi brasil colombia ecuador mexico peru puerto rico qollasuyu rosario santiago tijuana uruguay valparaiso venezuela venezuela oceania: adelaide aotearoa brisbane burma darwin jakarta manila melbourne perth qc sydney south asia: india mumbai united states: arizona arkansas asheville atlanta austin baltimore big muddy binghamton boston buffalo charlottesville chicago cleveland colorado columbus dc hawaii houston hudson mohawk kansas city la madison maine miami michigan milwaukee minneapolis/st. paul new hampshire new jersey new mexico new orleans north carolina north texas nyc oklahoma philadelphia pittsburgh portland richmond rochester rogue valley saint louis san diego san francisco san francisco bay area santa barbara santa cruz, ca sarasota seattle tampa bay tennessee urbana-champaign vermont western mass worcester west asia: armenia beirut israel palestine process: fbi/legal updates mailing lists process & imc docs tech volunteer projects: print radio satellite tv video regions: oceania united states topics: biotech

Surviving Cities

www.indymedia.org africa: canada: quebec east asia: japan europe: athens barcelona belgium bristol brussels cyprus germany grenoble ireland istanbul lille linksunten nantes netherlands norway portugal united kingdom latin america: argentina cmi brasil rosario oceania: aotearoa united states: austin big muddy binghamton boston chicago columbus la michigan nyc portland rochester saint louis san diego san francisco bay area santa cruz, ca tennessee urbana-champaign worcester west asia: palestine process: fbi/legal updates process & imc docs projects: radio satellite tv
printable version - js reader version - view hidden posts - tags and related articles


View article without comments

Not Another Post Election Analysis!

by Charlotte Laws, Ph.D. Monday, Nov. 08, 2004 at 6:45 PM

Some pundits wave election, exit poll results and argue that America is a "red" country immersed in conservative "red values." But there are several factors they seem to overlook: 1) Nader voters statistically trumped Bush voters on the "moral values" question, 2) "personal financial situation" seemed to be a decisive factor in the presidential election, and 3) exit polls are notoriously flawed.

The truly faithful have faith in exit polls, and disbelievers, well, they will have to take No Doze, eat fistfuls of Oreos into the night, and drag their sleepy heads to work the next morning. The unfaithful usually give up around 3 am. If the concession speech has not been made by then, the conceder is probably asleep. He is dreaming, of course, of his future: the million dollar lecture tour and his role as a highly paid advisor for one of the corporations who owes him a favor. Wink, wink.

The exit poll, an appendage of the American election process, is rarely questioned. It could be called the greatest invention since the wearable dog house, the hijacker ejector seat, knee skates, and the arm mitten—all real inventions, by the way.

After all, it was an exit poll that reported Gore had won the election in 2000 and that Kerry would defeat Bush in 2004. Could the exit poll be the Democrat's retaliation against the Fox News Network? After all, both purport themselves to be "fair and balanced" in a delusional sort of way.

The exit poll's most recent finding was that a predominant number of people cast their votes based on the issue of "moral values" and most of them were Bush supporters. Many journalists have argued that the original question was flawed, detailing how "moral values" is not a real issue and how the coupling of "Iraq" with "Terrorism"—two other options on the questionnaire—garners a much higher percentage of votes. Namely 34%, rather than the meager 22% that "moral values" draws in the CNN poll.

This is a reasonable conclusion since a large number of Americans think Iraq and terrorism are intimately connected and that the missing weapons of mass destruction are their truant offspring. Perhaps the WMDs are thumbing rides through Syria, knocking over Zam Zam Cola stores in Iran, or making sleazy video tapes in Pakistan with you-know-who.

If you closely analyze the results of the exit polls, you will learn two things that the experts have missed: 1) It could be the economy, Stupid, and 2) Nader beat Bush in the "moral values" department, even though Nader voters don't necessarily scramble into church every week, cringe at notion of gay marriage, or preach about the evils of pot smoking.

I say it "could be" the economy because I am toppling all confidence in exit polls while simultaneously using their data to make this point. A bit schizophrenic, but I never argued I was fair or balanced.

Both the CNN and CBS exit polls found that those who said their financial situation was worse than four years ago tended to choose Kerry (79% in CNN), while those with a perception of an improved situation largely cast their votes for Bush (80% in CNN). Those who felt their finances were the same tended to pick Nader (the bulk of voters in CNN and 60% in CBS). This data is much more convincing than anything related to moral values.

On the controversial topic of values, the CBS News exit poll—the only one to tally the statistical responses of Nader voters--asked, "Which ONE issue mattered most in deciding how you voted for president?"

The result? For the "moral values" respondents, 8% were Kerry voters, 35% were Bush voters and a full 57% were Nader voters. Since Nader voters are not disproportionately social conservatives—both according to the same survey and common sense--the theory about the Reign of Middle American Values is flawed.

Millions of Blue subjects are not being pushed into the two oceans by their relativism; they simply live in their own kingdoms, ruled by their own belief systems. Nader voters probably place importance on things like protecting the environment, curtailing the gap between the rich and poor, and not waging war unilaterally in the Middle East. Although some may call these trivial issues as compared with protecting heterosexual marriage, they are indisputably values, too.

So the next time someone asks you, "What's black and white and Red all over?" Don't answer, "America" or "a newspaper."

Tell them, "A flawed exit poll." It is not really Red all over. Certain people just want you to think it is.
Report this post as:
Share on: Twitter, Facebook, Google+

add your comments


Oh, I get it.

by Sheepdog Monday, Nov. 08, 2004 at 6:54 PM

because the exit polls showed that Gore won in 2000 as he indeed did, then that means that exit polls are flawed. What an idiot, Charlotte Laws with a ' Ph.D'
Report this post as:
Share on: Twitter, Facebook, Google+

add your comments


Very funny & Interesting Data

by Carole Thomlinson Monday, Nov. 08, 2004 at 7:53 PM

Funny how the right wing wants us to believe their own theory. No one even mentioned the Nader stuff. Thanks for the story.
Report this post as:
Share on: Twitter, Facebook, Google+

add your comments


© 2000-2018 Los Angeles Independent Media Center. Unless otherwise stated by the author, all content is free for non-commercial reuse, reprint, and rebroadcast, on the net and elsewhere. Opinions are those of the contributors and are not necessarily endorsed by the Los Angeles Independent Media Center. Running sf-active v0.9.4 Disclaimer | Privacy