Contaiment Was Working
CIA: Seven Months
Before 9/11, the Agency Said Iraq Posed No Threat to the US
By JASON LEOPOLD
months before two-dozen or so al-Qaida terrorists hijacked four commercial
airplanes and flew three of the aircrafts directly into the World Trade Center
and the Pentagon on September 11, 2001, killing 3,000 innocent civilians, CIA
Director George Tenet, testified before Congress that Iraq posed no immediate
threat to the United States or to other countries in the Middle East.
But immediately after the terrorist attacks on 9-11,
which the Bush administration claims Iraq is partially responsible for, the
President and his advisers were already making a case for war against Iraq
without so much as providing a shred of evidence to back up the allegations that
Iraq and its former President, Saddam Hussein, was aware of the attacks or
helped the al-Qaida hijackers plan the catastrophe.
It was then, after the 9-11 attacks, that intelligence
reports from the CIA radically changed from previous months, which said Iraq
posed no immediate threat to the U.S., to now show Iraq had a stockpile of
chemical and biological weapons and was in hot pursuit of a nuclear bomb. The
Bush administration seized upon the reports to build public support for the war
and used the information to eventually justify a preemptive strike against the
country in March even though much of the information in the CIA report has since
In just seven short months, beginning as early as
February 2001, Bush administration officials said Iraq went from being a threat
only to its own people to posing an imminent threat to the world. Indeed, in a
Feb. 12, 2001 interview with the Fox News Channel Secretary of Defense Donald
Rumsfeld said: "Iraq is probably not a nuclear threat at the present
But Rumsfeld testified before the House Armed Services
Committee on Sept. 18, 2002 that Iraq is close to acquiring the materials needed
to build a nuclear bomb.
"Some have argued that the nuclear threat from Iraq
is not imminent -- that Saddam is at least 5-7 years away from having nuclear
testified before the committee.
"I would not be so certain... He has, at this
moment, stockpiles chemical and biological weapons, and is pursuing nuclear
Rumsfeld never offered any evidence to support his
claims, but his dire warnings of a nuclear catastrophe caused by Saddam Hussein
was enough to convince most lawmakers, both Democrat and Republican, that
Saddam's Iraq was doomed. Shortly after his remarks before the House Armed
Services Committee, Congress passed a resolution authorizing President Bush to
use "all appropriate means" to remove Saddam from power.
Two months have passed since the U.S. invaded Iraq and
not a spec of anthrax nor any other deadly chemical or biological weapon has
been found. U.S. military forces have searched more than 300 sites but have
turned up nothing substantial. Lawmakers are now questioning whether the
intelligence information gathered by the CIA was accurate or whether the Bush
administration manipulated and or exaggerated the intelligence to make a case
However, intelligence reports released by the CIA and
more than 100 interviews top officials in the Bush administration, such as
Secretary of State Colin Powell, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and Deputy
Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, gave to various Senate and Congressional
committees and media outlets prior to 9-11 show that the U.S. never believed
Saddam Hussein to be an imminent threat other than to his own people. Moreover,
the CIA reported in February 2001 that Iraq was "probably" pursuing
chemical and biological weapons programs but that it had no direct evidence that
Iraq actually had actually obtained such weapons.
"We do not have any direct evidence that Iraq has
used the period since (Operation) Desert Fox to reconstitute its WMD programs,
although given its past behavior, this type of activity must be regarded as
likely," CIA director Tenet said in an
agency report to Congress on Feb 7, 2001 .
"We assess that since the suspension of (United
Nations) inspections in December of 1998, Baghdad has had the capability to
reinitiate both its (chemical and biological weapons) programs... without an
inspection monitoring program, however, it is more difficult to determine if
Iraq has done so."
"Moreover, the automated video monitoring systems
installed by the UN at known and suspect WMD facilities in Iraq are still not
operating," according to the 2001 CIA report. "Having lost this
on-the-ground access, it is more difficult for the UN or the US to accurately
assess the current state of Iraq's WMD programs."
Ironically, in the February 2001 report, Tenet said
Osama bin Laden and his al-Qaida terrorist network remain the single greatest
threat to U.S. interests here and abroad. Tenet eerily describes in the report a
scenario that six months later would become a reality.
"Terrorists are also becoming more operationally
adept and more technically sophisticated in order to defeat counter-terrorism
measures. For example, as we have increased security around government and
military facilities, terrorists are seeking out "softer" targets that
provide opportunities for mass casualties. Employing increasingly advanced
devices and using strategies such as simultaneous attacks, the number of people
killed ... Usama bin Ladin and his global network of lieutenants and associates
remain the most immediate and serious threat. Since 1998, Bin Ladin has declared
all U.S. citizens legitimate targets of attack. As shown by the bombing of our
embassies in Africa in 1998 and his Millennium plots last year, he is capable of
planning multiple attacks with little or no warning," Tenet said.
However, Tenet only briefly discussed the al-Qaida
threat and devoted the bulk of his testimony on how to deal with the threat of
rogue countries such as North Korea, Syria, Iran and Iraq. Six months later, Bin
Laden was identified as the mastermind behind 9-11.
Between 1998 and early 2002, the CIA's reports on the
so-called terror threat offered no details on what types of chemical and
biological weapons that Iraq obtained.
But that changed dramatically in October 2002 when
the CIA issued another report that this time included details of Iraq's
alleged vast chemical and biological weapons.
The October 2002 CIA report into Iraq's WMD identifies
sarin, mustard gas, VX and numerous other chemical weapons that the CIA claims
Iraq had been stockpiling over the years, in stark contrast to earlier reports
by Tenet that said the agency had no evidence to support such claims. And unlike
testimony Tenet gave a year earlier, in which he said the CIA had no direct
evidence of Iraq's WMD programs, the intelligence information in the 2002
report, Tenet said, is rock solid.
"This information is based on a solid foundation of
said during a CIA briefing in February.
"It comes to us from credible and reliable sources.
Much of it is corroborated by multiple sources."
The CIA would not comment on the differing reports
between 2001 and 2002 or how the agency was able to obtain such intelligence
information and corroborate it so quickly.
Still, in early 2001, while hardliners in the Bush
administration were privately discussing ways to remove Saddam Hussein from
power, Secretary of State Powell said the U.S. successfully
"contained" Iraq in the years since the first Gulf War and that
because of economic sanctions placed on the country Iraq was unable to obtain
"We have been able to keep weapons from going into
Iraq," Powell said during a Feb 11, 2001 interview with "Face the
Nation. "We have been able to keep the sanctions in place to the extent
that items that might support weapons of mass destruction development have had
some controls on them... it's been quite a success for ten years..."
Moreover, during a meeting with Joschka Fischer, the
German Foreign Minister, in February 2001 on how to deal with Iraq, Powell said
the U.N., the U.S. and its allies "have succeeded in containing Saddam
Hussein and his ambitions."
Saddam's "forces are about one-third their original
size. They don't really possess the capability to attack their neighbors the way
they did ten years ago," Powell
said during the meeting with Fischer.
"Containment has been a successful policy, and I
think we should make sure that we continue it until such time as Saddam Hussein
comes into compliance with the agreements he made at the end of the (Gulf)
Powell added that Iraq is "not threatening
America," but in a separate interview with ABC's Sam Donaldson on Feb. 1,
2001, Powell said the U.S. could attack Iraq if "something occurred to
us," which would suggest that the 9-11 terrorist attacks made Iraq a