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An Open Letter to the American People (On National Energy Policy)

by Scientists for a Sustainable Energy Future Monday, May. 28, 2001 at 3:10 PM
cutler@bu.edu (617) 353-3083 675 Commonwealth Ave, Boston, MA 02215

An open letter on energy policy--the scientific and ethical reality of our planetary responsibility for the future vs. the political spin of the moment.

ERR_4_20_01

An Open Letter to the American People
On National Energy Policy
      By Scientists for a Sustainable Energy Future
  "We are natural and social scientists who study the connections among energy, the environment, and society. We write to you out of grave concern with the turn the nation's energy policy has taken...."

May 18, 2001

Dear Fellow Citizens,



Since the first "energy crisis" almost thirty years ago, research has produced large advances in our understanding of energy issues.



The current direction of the nation's energy policy is inconsistent with much of this work.



Conventional forms of energy have grabbed the policy spotlight in recent months, but this emphasis is misplaced, and, ultimately, counterproductive.


We are natural and social scientists who study the connections among energy, the environment, and society. We write to you out of grave concern with the turn the nation's energy policy has taken. Decisions taken today about the supply and use of energy have far reaching implications for our economic prosperity and for the health of our environment.

Since the first "energy crisis" almost thirty years ago, a large body of research in the nation's universities, national laboratories, think tanks, and private sector has produced large advances in our understanding of energy issues. We would like to share some of this information with you because the current direction of the nation's energy policy is inconsistent with much of this work.

Conventional forms of energy have grabbed the policy spotlight in recent months, but this emphasis is misplaced, and, ultimately, counterproductive. We produce slightly less than half of the oil we consume; by 2020 we will produce just 35 percent. Can a policy to encourage domestic oil extraction reduce dependence on imported oil and maintain the price of gasoline and home heating oil at reasonable levels? The simple answer is no, because the domestic oil resource base is depleted to the extent that large investments in drilling cannot generate a commensurate increase in oil supply. Extraction and proven reserves of oil have dropped considerably since their peaks in 1970 despite a massive drilling campaign in the late 1970s and early 1980s. Because domestic oil sources are more costly than overseas alternatives, incentives to encourage exploration and development will hurt the economy in the same way they did 20 years ago when the oil price shocks produced record rates of drilling. A large diversion of capital investment and profits to the oil industry ensued, but oil extraction continued to decline, as it has to this day. There is every reason to believe that the same scenario will play out if political decisions are made to promote domestic extraction.



Opening the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil exploration will not improve our energy security, nor will it have any impact on the price of gasoline.


Opening the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil exploration will not improve our energy security, nor will it have any impact on the price of gasoline. The economically recoverable amount of oil in the Refuge is just 152 days of supply for the nation.

More importantly, if we started drilling in the Refuge today, the Department of Energy projects that by 2020 it could supply 1.4 million barrels per day. By then world oil production will be in the range of 100 million barrels per day. The Refuge would amount to about 1 percent of global oil supply, and thus have a trivial influence on the ability of oil exporters to influence prices.



Nuclear power generates high level radioactive wastes that remain hazardous for thousands of years and increase the likelihood of nuclear weapons proliferation... high costs to impose on future generations.


Nuclear power faces formidable obstacles. Experience of the last several decades has shown that electricity from nuclear power plants is an expensive form of power when all public and private costs are considered. Nuclear power generates high level radioactive wastes that remain hazardous for thousands of years and increase the likelihood of nuclear weapons proliferation. These are high costs to impose on future generations.

Even with improved reactor design, the safety of nuclear plants remains an important concern. Can these technological, economic, environmental, and public safety problems be overcome? This remains an open question. Further public support to help resolve these issues should not come at the expense of an aggressive campaign to develop energy conservation and renewable energy sources.



Conservation must be front and center in our energy future. Unfortunately, energy conservation is painted as a return to the Stone Age. But in reality, just the opposite is the case.


Conservation must be front and center in our energy future. Unfortunately, energy conservation is painted as a return to the Stone Age, conjuring images of people huddling in the cold of their living rooms in front of lifeless TVs. But in reality, just the opposite is the case. In the last twenty years some of the country's best scientists and engineers have produced great innovations in the efficient use of energy. Cars that get 70 or more miles per gallon, appliances that use half the energy they did ten years ago, lighting fixtures that last for years at a fraction of the energy cost, and new homes that heat and cool with modest amounts of energy are proven winners in energy and economic terms. Just a 3 mile-per-gallon increase in the fuel efficiency of SUVs alone would reduce U.S. oil consumption more than the entire Arctic National Wildlife Refuge could supply. A study by five national laboratories concluded that a government-led efficiency program emphasizing research and incentives to adopt new technologies could reduce the growth in electricity demand by as much 47 percent. This would drastically reduce our need to build new power plants.



The cost of electricity from wind turbines and photovoltaics has plummeted in the last two decades.


Many forms of renewable energy have enjoyed equally impressive advances. The cost of electricity from wind turbines and photovoltaics has plummeted in the last two decades, making power from these systems increasingly cost-competitive with conventional sources in some regions of the country. Compared to oil and coal, renewable energy produces small amounts of the pollutants that presently impair the health of people, degrade our lakes and forests, lower crop yields, and damage buildings, bridges, and other structures. Most notable is their near absence of greenhouse gases, pollutants that contribute to climate change.



On the subject of climate change, a lot of misinformation has obscured the scientific research. Earth is warming much faster than in previous centuries and human use of energy produces most of the greenhouse gases that contribute to this.


On the subject of climate change, a lot of misinformation has obscured the scientific research. We want you to know these important and irrefutable facts. The overwhelming majority of scientists who study climate change have concluded that (1) the Earth is warming much faster than it has in previous centuries for which we can measure temperature change, and (2) human use of energy produces most of the greenhouse gases that contribute to this warming.

In other words, climate change is real and directly related to present patterns of energy consumption. The costs of adjusting to a warmer world could be large and unpredictable, and they would be disproportionately borne by the poorer nations. Energy use in American homes, cars and factories has been a large source of greenhouse gases. We believe that this places a burden on the U.S. to lead the international effort to curb the release of these pollutants.



We are now viewed internationally as an environmental pariah.


Instead we have done just the opposite, thumbing our nose at the Kyoto Protocol, the international agreement to limit greenhouse gas emissions. As a result, we are now viewed internationally as an environmental pariah. The U.S. must face its responsibility by engaging the international community on the climate change issue, and by reducing our emission of greenhouse gases. This means more energy from natural gas, renewable hydrogen and geothermal sources, and less coal and oil. Above all it calls for an accelerated development and adoption of energy conservation and renewable technologies. We also must lead the effort to help less fortunate nations find and fund the path of development that improves their quality of life with minimal de-stabilization of the Earth's climate.



There has been a lot of talk in Washington about the need for renewables and conservation, but action seriously lags behind the rhetoric.


There has been a lot of talk in Washington about the need for renewables and conservation, but action seriously lags behind the rhetoric. The budget submitted to Congress last month calls for a large cut in funding for these technologies while proposing greater incentives for conventional fuels. This would speed us in the direction opposite from one that would improve our energy security, reduce pollution, help stabilize the Earth's climate, and maximize our economic flexibility. We urge you to join us in the campaign for a sensible and sustainable energy future.


*Contact: Dr. Cutler Cleveland
675 Commonwealth Ave
Boston, MA 02215
phone: (617) 353-3083
fax: (617) 353-5986
cutler@bu.edu

Originally publshed at TomPaine.Com and republished by permission of Dr. Celeveland



SIGNATORIES
*Member of the National Academy of Sciences
David Ackerly Stanford University
Julian Agyeman Tufts University
Mowafak Al-Jassim The National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Gerard Alleng University of Delaware
Bill Anderson Boston University
Molly Anderson Tufts University
Clinton J. Andrews Rutgers University
James R. Appleby
Jr. Edward Arens
Kiran Asher Bates College
Jelle Atema Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole
Gobind H. Atmaram Florida Solar Energy Center
Nancy A. Auer Michigan Technological University
Rachel Austin Bates College
Robert Ayres INSEAD, France
Irisita Azary California State University
John A. Baker Clark University
Carol Barford University of Wisconsin-Madison
Albert Bartlett University of Colorado, Boulder
Richard Bawden Michigan State University
Tim Beach Georgetown University
David Beal Florida Solar Energy Center
Linda R. Berg St. Petersburg Junior College
Alan R. Berkowitz Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Jon R. Biemer Bonneville Power Administration
Steven M. Block Stanford University
R. Gordon Bloomquist Washington State University
John J. Boland The Johns Hopkins University
Roger E. Bolton Williams College
Stephen M. Born University of Wisconsin, Madison
Abhijeet Borole University of Tennessee, Knoxville
James K. Boyce University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Allison Breeze The National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Robin Broad American University
Daniel A. Bronstein Michigan State University
Tommy L. Brown Cornell University
Halina Brown Clark University
Mark T. Brown University of Florida
John A. Bryant Texas A&M University
Louis L. Bucciarelli Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Frederick H. Buttel University of Wisconsin
John Byrne University of Delaware
David K. Campbell Boston University
C. Ronald Carroll University of Georgia
Richard A. Cellarius Prescott College
James E. Christensen The Ohio State University
Jeffrey E. Christian
Richard W. Clapp Boston University School of Public Health
James Clark Duke University
Cutler J. Cleveland Boston University
Robert S. Cole The Evergreen State College
David C. Coleman University of Georgia
Kerry H. Cook Cornell University
Anthony Cortese Second Nature, Inc.
Robert Costanza University of Maryland
Larry Crowder Duke Univerisity
Martine Culty Georgetown University
James B. Cummings Florida Solar Energy Center
Gretchen C. Daily Stanford University
Herman E. Daly University of Maryland
Roger Dargaville Ecoystem Dynamics and the Atmosphere
Brynhildur Davidsdottir Boston University
Sujit Das Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Graham A. Davis Colorado School of Mines
*Margaret B. Davis University of Minnesota
John W. Day, Jr. Louisiana State Universtity
Thomas Detwyler University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Raymond De Young University of Michigan
Neelkanth G. Dhere University of Central Florida
John G. Douglass Washington State University
Myrna Dubroff Florida Solar Energy Center
Murray Duffin
*Paul R. Ehrlich Stanford University
Salah El Serafy Energy and Environmental Consultant
Randy Ellingson Solar Energy Research Scientist
Jacque (Jody) Emel Clark University
Richard W. England University of New Hampshire, Durham
Donald J. Epp Pennsyvania State University
Howard Epstein University of Virginia
Paul Epstein Harvard Medical School
Ronald C. Faas Washington State University
John Fabel Hampshire College
Timothy J. Fahey Cornell University
Stephen Farber University of Pittsburgh
Brian Farhi Florida Solar Energy Center
Suzanne Ferrerre The National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Kurt Finsterbusch University of Maryland
Jon Foley University of Wisconsin-Madison
Louise Fortmann University of California, Berkeley
Rosanne W. Fortner The Ohio State University
Beth Forys Eckerd College
David R. Foster Harvard University
Laurie Fowler University of Georgia
Douglas I. Foy The Conservation Law Foundation
Mark Friedl Boston University
Andrew J. Friedland Dartmouth College
Tod Frolking Denison University
Dennis Galvan University of Florida
Jacqueline Geoghegan Clark University
Brian Gibson University of Toronto
James W. Gillett Cornell University
John Marin Gilroy Bucknell University
Steven L. Girshick University of Minnesota
Helen W. Gjessing University of the Virgin Islands
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Janice M. Glime Michigan Technological University
John Gowdy Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
Joseph Graziano Columbia University
Charles H. Greene Cornell University
Gary D. Grossman University of Georgia
Hugh Gusterson Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Brent M. Haddad University of California, Santa Cruz
Charles Hall SUNY-Environmental Science and Forestry
Winnie Hallwachs University of Pennsylvania
Philip C. Hanawalt Stanford University
Bruce Hannon University of Illinois
Holly Hanson Mount Holyoke College
Jonathan M. Harris Tufts University
John Hart Carroll College
John Harte University of Berkeley, California
Betsy Hartmann Hampshire College
Steven B. Hawthorne University of North Dakota
Rodrick A. Hay California State University
Joe E. Heimlich The Ohio State University
Robert A. Herendeen University of Illinois
Steven M. Hoffman University of St. Paul
Andrew Hoffman Boston University
Chris Hohenemser Clark University
Briavel Holcomb Rutgers University
C.S. Holling University of Florida
William L. Hoover Purdue University
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James F. Hornig Dartmouth College
Richard B. Howarth Dartmouth College
Robert W. Howarth Cornell University
Peter Howie Colorado School of Mines
Phillip Hutton
H. Patricia Hynes Boston University School of Public Health
Danny Ingold Muskingum College
David Jaber
Stan Jacobs Columbia University
*Daniel H. Janzen University of Pennsylvania
Sheila Jasanoff Harvard University
J. Scott Jiusto Clark University
Patricia Johnson Washington Department of Ecology
Gary Jorgensen The National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Raymond A. Jussaume, Jr. Washington State University
Peter Kakela Michigan State University
Daniel M. Kammen University of California, Berkeley
Robert K. Kaufmann Boston University
Abram Kaplan Denison University
Jay Keller Energy Scientist
Cheryl Kennedy
Robert O. Keohane Duke University
Gregory A. Keoleian University of Michigan
J. Daniel Khazzoom San Jose State University
Patrick L. Kinney Columbia University
Paul H. Kirshen Tufts University
S.A. Klein University of Wisconsin-Madison
C. Gregory Knight Pennsylvania State University
Barbara A. Knuth Cornell University
Michael Kuby Arizona State University
Thomas Kunz Boston University
Robert W. Lake Rutgers University
Janelle M. Larson Pennsylvania State University, Berks Campus
Warren Leon Northeast Sustainable Energy Association
*Simon Levin Princeton University
Stephen H. Levine Tufts University
Lois Levitan Cornell University
Karin Limburg SUNY College of Environment and Forestry
Clovis A. Linkous University of Central Florida
William Lockeretz Tufts University
George Loisos Loisos/Ubbelohde Architecture
Gary M. Lovett Institute of Ecosystem Studies
George Lowenstein Carnegie Mellon University
Doug Luckerman Environmental Lawyer
A.E. Luloff Pennsylvania State University
John W. Lund Geothermal Resources Council
Loren Lutzenhiser The Washington State University
Allison Macfarlane Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Jean MacGregor The Evergreen State College
Janet Mann Georgetown University
Jack Manno SUNY Environmental Science and Forestry
Barbara L. Martin
Leo Marx Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Eric Maskin Institute for Advanced Study
Robert J. Mason Temple University
Gil Masters Stanford University
Nancy Irwin Maxwell Boston University School of Public Health
Dennis McCarthy University of Tennessee, Knoxville
Brent H. McCown University of Wisconsin-Madison
Gary McCracken University of Tennessee
J. Marc McGinnes University of California, Santa Barbara
Jon McGowan University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Janet McIlvaine Florida Solar Energy Center
Margaret McKean Duke University
Diane K. McLaughlin The Pennsylvania State University
J.R. McNeill Georgetown University
David Menicucci Sandia National Laboratory
Kathleen A. Miller National Center for Atmospheric Research
James K. Mitchell Rutgers University
Scott C. Mohr Boston University
Bill Moore Journalist
Alan Mountjoy-Venning The Washington State University
Patricia Muir Oregon State University
Kent Murray University of Michigan
Blake C. Myers University of California
Adil Najam Boston University
Lisa Naughton University of Wisconsin
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Richard B. Norgaard University of California, Berkeley
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Ray Oglesby Cornell University
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David R. Orvos Sweet Briar College
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Mike Pasqualetti Arizona State University
Anthony Patt Boston University
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John H. Perkins The Evergreen State College
Thomas Perreault Syracuse University
Noel Perrin Dartmouth College
Jeanne E. Peters
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Anna Peterson University of Florida
Michelle D. Peterson University of the Virgin Islands
Robert Gilmore Pontius, Jr. Clark University
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Rich Prill Washington State University
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H. Ronald Pulliam University of Georgia
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Mary Emma Wagner University of Pennsylvania
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Donald M. Waller University of Wisconsin-Madison
Young-Doo Wang University of Delaware
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Kenneth J. Warn Union of Concerned Scientists
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*Gilbert White University of Colorado
Arthur M. Winer University of California, Los Angeles
*Julian Wolpert Princeton University
Jane Woodward Stanford University
Chang-Yu Wu University of Florida
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Jensen Zhang Syracuse University

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