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by gimme shelter
Wednesday, Sep. 24, 2008 at 4:34 AM
If we're going to buy the debt, we want the collateral.
As we watch the housing market bring down capitalism, we are witnessing a huge robbery upon us, in the form of this $700 billion bailout that Henry Paulson is requesting. He wants all that money, no strings attached.
That money could pay for a decaded of health care for all Americans!
Paulson, a crony of bankers must be regulated and controlled before he tries to steal again. Write to your congressperson and senator., to let them know that you know what's up.
With that $700 billion, we're going to be purchasing bad debt. How about we start tracing this bad debt back to the houses and the people living in them? After all, we will own the mortgages, so, we'll also own the houses.
Take each house, and when the owner defaults, do the following:
1. Let them stay in the house, so they don't become homeless or enter the rental market.
2. Rent them the house at market rate. sell them an option to buy the house later. For example, let them rent at $2,000 a month, and $200 extra for the option to buy.
3. Take this house and hire a management company to run it - this will be jobs for out-of-work people. Take the house and have the government purchase a mortgage from a capitalist against a portion of the house - this will raise cash. Sell the mortgage holder an option to buy, at a lower price (say $80 a month).
4. When the market rebounds, say in 10 years, as the price rises to a certain predetermined level, the government will give the tenant an opportunity to exercise the option to buy. There will be a window when they can buy, and when the window closes, the second option that the mortgage owner has can be exercises. If they opt not to buy, the house will be put on the market.
5. Once sold, the revenues from the house will be used to pay off the mortgage, or the purchaser can take over the mortgage. There will be a possible loss at this time, and the taxpayers will foot that bill.
This scheme will temporarily socialize housing for all the people upside-down in mortgages and living in apartment buildings that were purchased with bad paper. It will also allow the government to build the long-term capacity to operate socialized housing for the people. This will tend to depress the speculative real-estate market.
by PrionPartyy
Wednesday, Sep. 24, 2008 at 12:16 PM
I am not so keen on bailing out ANY of my fellow Americans. How is bailing out a citizen in Texas working an oil field any differant than bailing out a citzen in New York woring on Wall Street? How is it my duty to work and sweat so others get what they want? That is servitud, slavery, reguardless of WHICH apointed master gets my earnings (EARNINGS! a very word very important to me since I can't afford investing in either Wall Street or my own home).
If you say that one is a "CRIME", why can you not even see that the other is a CRIME as well?
If you want to dig into your own pockets to support Wall Street investors, then you can do so without reaching into MY pockets as well. And if you want to support other citizens housing situation, then you can do so without forcing your fellow Americans into servitude by picking OUR pockets.
Americans who would use govenrment to make me pay their bills are assholes and do not deserve ANY of MY EARNINGS.
by gimme shelter
Wednesday, Sep. 24, 2008 at 1:18 PM
Let's say we "punish" the people who took the mortgages. We toss them out of the house.
Now "we" would have to sell the house into a sinking market, further depressing the market.
If credit were fluid, there'd be buyers, but credit will not be available. Maybe some rich folks could buy up the house.
So then, the rich folks turn around and rent the house out to someone until the recession/depression ends. At that time, they will sell the asset after the rent collected + selling price > price paid + adjustment for inflation.
Why not let the "rich folks" be "the people"? That's all this plan does - additionally it uses capital from investors to replenish the account so the plan can be carried out longer.
The occupants of the house will have to pay rent, which is rising to around half the monthly payment on the mortgage (and property prices are dropping to match rent). While the resident pays rent (and fixes their credit) they do not gain equity -- "the people" have the equity and recover the cost slowly.
by PrionPartyy
Wednesday, Sep. 24, 2008 at 3:33 PM
"punish"?
Not forcing others to pay someone else's bills is to "punish".
What u b smoking?
The rest you wrote about is probably accurate. But then again, it isn't my duty to be paying the bills of assholes who would use government to democraticly enslave me. I don't care if such evil and offensive people loose everything. And if the over priced cost of houses falls enough, maybe someone like me could one day afford a HOME for myself. Keeping the cost of a HOME artificialy high by subsidizing the assholes who would enslave me sure as hell isn't helping me. Why should I care about the assholes who would prevent me from buying a house by keeping the prices out of reach?
by gimme shelter
Friday, Sep. 26, 2008 at 2:27 PM
This is hardly a bailout of borrowers. It just delays their entry into the rental market, so rents don't escalate more. It produces income for the owner/lender, who are "us". It benefits the suckers who bought in the bubble, who are "us". (FYI, I didn't buy a house. I rent. I put money into the bank and retirement.)
The residents will lose all their equity anyway. This isn't a favor to them - it's pragmatic.
The prices of houses will continue to drop because credit is tight and demand is correspondingly low. They were inflated, by the bubble, beyond the means of most people.
The last housing crash, in the early 1990s, took around five years, and at the bottom, the cost of houses was less than the cost of building a house on the property. We may see similar conditions again.
The last bad mortgages were written in 2006. These ARMs will reset in 2011, and the last of the borrowers will default at that time. (Many will default sooner, because they'll be out of work, or with the collapse of the market renting will make more sense than owning - and default accordingly if the lenders refuse to renegotiate the loan.)
So, don't worry about finding a good deal. There's still time.
Let's get Ed McMahon's mansion, and turn it into Public Housing!
by "housing market bring down capitalism&qu
Friday, Sep. 26, 2008 at 2:57 PM
wrong, the fictive derivative capital monster of two thousand trillion in banking paper is the reason for the collapse of this burning house of cards. The housing market correction is 'only' about two hundred billion. Let's blame the victims again.
by PrionPartyy
Friday, Sep. 26, 2008 at 11:25 PM
Well, as long as you don't actualy disagree with me, and instead just add more talking points of why you think / feel you have a calling to enslave me for your own benifit, well, then I guess my job here is done.
by not a problem
Friday, Sep. 26, 2008 at 11:38 PM
being precise is important. The banking houses are the criminals, the 'marks' aka the morgage holders as in the duped prey, are not responsible for this crisis in capitalism. Just pointing that out to counter the misconception of who is the criminal and who is the victim.
by PrionPartyy
Saturday, Sep. 27, 2008 at 6:49 PM
As it turns out, BOTH are the victims. And the criminals are those who would use government power to force US to bail out either.
Loosing cash or houses is not the crime, using goverment to empty my pockets to bail out either is the crime.
by gimme shelter
Sunday, Sep. 28, 2008 at 1:49 PM
This isn't the collapse of capitalism, but it is the collapse of the derivatives.
The bailout shouldn't be used to prop up this part of the economy, but to shield other parts of the economy from that collapse. The parts that need shielding are things like basic housing -- we don't want rents to rise (and the sales price of apartments to rise) because many new renters enter the market.
Another part that need shielding are retirement funds. People will lose part of their retirement. Something must be done to limit the damage, especially for people with less money saved up.
This collapse can be used to take things out of the private sphere, and into the public sphere. It would require that we demand that the bailout be for the people, not speculators. The most politically feasible way to do this is to use the money to purchase assets from the private sphere when they've lost market value.
by gimme shelter
Monday, Sep. 29, 2008 at 8:53 AM
It's an allusion to a Rolling Stones song.
Ooh, see the fire is sweepin Our very street today Burns like a red coal carpet Mad bull lost its way
Anyway, my suggestion is just that if we're going to buy assets, we should buy and hold, for the benefit of regular people, not buy and resell. That's all. (I'm capitulating to the washington consensus, and trying to propagandize to promote this idea.)
Obviously, this bailout is corrupt. But it's going to pass, and not primarily because of the corruption. The foreign investors need to be sated, or they won't lend more money to our country, which is deep in debt. This would be yet another liquidity crisis.
The problem is these derivatives -- it's difficult to assess their risk. They're hard to understand, to start with. Then, they give people the sense that they've hedged against a catastrophe... when in fact they may be more vulnerable.
by gimme shelter
Monday, Nov. 24, 2008 at 11:16 AM
[Dean Baker is a well known progressive economist. He even cites support from bankers.]
Foreclosures With the Right to Rent:
by: Dean Baker, t r u t h o u t: November 17, 2008
Politicians often prefer complex solutions to simple problems. Nowhere is this more apparent than with the long list of complicated and convoluted proposals to address the country's foreclosure crisis.
Millions of people face the loss of their homes over the next few years. While the politicians in Congress have developed a wide variety of complex schemes in order to hold back this flood of foreclosures, including one passed into law last summer that provided up to $300 billion guarantees for new mortgages on homes facing foreclosure, none have had much impact thus far.
The unavoidable problem with these schemes is that it is difficult to design a plan that aids families facing foreclosure without giving an incentive to other homeowners to also default on their mortgage. In addition, it is hard to justify taxing the people who are struggling to keep up with their own mortgages in order to help those who default. It is even harder to justify taxing ordinary people to help out the bank executives, who issued hundreds of billions of dollars of bad loans.
As a result, to date these programs have not prevented a tidal wave of foreclosures and evictions. The number of foreclosure filings (there are typically two or more filing for every actual foreclosure) is now approaching 300,000 per month.
For those not offended by simplicity, there is an easy solution. Congress can temporarily modify the rules on foreclosure to give families facing foreclosure the right to rent their homes at the market rate for a substantial period of time. Rep. Raul Grijalva proposed such a change in the Saving Family Homes Act, which would allow homeowners the option to remain as renters for up to 20 years following a foreclosure.
This bill would immediately give families security in their home, so that if they like the home, the neighborhood, the school for their kids, they would have the option to stay in the house for a substantial period of time. This also has the great benefit for the neighborhood that homes will remain occupied.
Perhaps more importantly, this change in foreclosure rules will give banks a real incentive to negotiate conditions under which homeowners can stay in their homes as owners. Banks do not want to become landlords. The bank will own the house after a foreclosure, but a house with a renter is worth much less to them than a house over which it has complete control.
Giving the homeowner the right to stay as a renter hugely increases their bargaining power with the bank. The result of this change in foreclosure rules is that far more homeowners are likely to remain in their homes as owners.
The beauty of this sort of proposal is that it is simple, can take effect immediately, it requires no taxpayer dollars and no new bureaucracy. It also is not giving anyone a big bonanza. Homeowners are not likely to line up for a process that could end up with them being renters. And the banks will obviously not be thrilled about a rule change that will leave them worse off in trying to squeeze money out of homeowners.
While the basic point of the right to rent is simple, it can be extended in various ways to further aid homeowners. Bernard Wasow, at the Century Foundation, has proposed some additional measures to facilitate the transition to rental status or possibly a return to ownership. Daniel Alpert, of Westwood Capital, has a somewhat different version that creates a mechanism for homeowners to buy back their homes after five years.
In short, if people want to add bells and whistles, it is easy to do so. But, the key to stopping people from being thrown out of their homes is simply to change the law that allows people to be thrown out of their homes. That one is so simple that even a policy wonk should be able to understand it.
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