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Antarctica Melting Faster than Expected

by Don Beck Saturday, Mar. 24, 2007 at 5:49 PM

A leading Australian marine scientist John Church in an interview by Michael Byrnes of Rueters told of his research revealing that "Observations are in the very upper edge of the projections,"(1) "I feel that we're getting uncomfortably close to threshold," said Church. "....the Antarctic Peninsula is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, and glaciers are in massive retreat." A United Nations report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in February projected sea level gains of 18-59 centimeters (7-23 inches) this century from temperature rises

of 1.8-4.0 Celsius (3.2-7.8 Fahrenheit). But that projection has been

called too conservative by David Parker at the Hadley Centre for Climate Change Research in Exeter. His three year study shows twice the rise in sea level predicted by the IPCC. (2)

James Hansen, the leading US climatologist agrees that the IPCC report underestimates sea level rise. Hansen points out that the IPCC center point of 3°C (5.4°F) increase in global average temperature is "inconsistent with the numbers that they gave for sea level," because they do not take into account the contribution of melting ice sheets ("Gorilla of Sea Level Rise").(3)

1) Antarctic melting may be speeding up, by Michael Byrnes

Mar 23, 2007

http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSSYD27511820070323?feedType=RSS&pageNumber=1

2) World's sea levels rising at accelerating rate, by James Randerson and Ian Sample

February 2, 2007

environment.guardian.co.uk/climatechange/story/0,,2004718,00.html

3) Is the New UN Global Warming Report Too Conservative? by Brett Clark and John Bellamy Foster

February 17,07

http://mrzine.monthlyreview.org/cf170207.html


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