\r\nThe\r\nGalileo of Global Warming<\/b>\r\n
It's\r\nnot PC to blame Mother Nature <\/b>\r\nI<\/b>n a scientific establishment 50-percent\r\nfinanced by the government few can resist the cult of human-caused global\r\nwarming.\r\n
\r\n<\/p> Keigwin, though, is the more intriguing\r\ncase.\r\n
A 54-year-old oceanographer at Woods Hole\r\nObservatory near the Massachusetts Cape, he found a way to concoct a 3,000-year\r\nrecord of the temperatures of the Sargasso Sea near Bermuda through analyzing\r\nthermally dependent oxygen isotopes in fossils on the ocean floor. \r\n
He discovered that temperatures a thousand\r\nyears ago, during the so-called medieval climate optimum, were two degrees\r\nCelsius warmer than today's and that the average temperature over the last\r\nthree millennia was slightly warmer than today's. \r\n
Roughly confirming this result are historical\r\nrecords -- the verdancy of Greenland at the time of the Vikings, the little\r\nice age of the mid-1700s, a long series of temperature readings collected\r\nin Britain over the last 300 years documenting a slow recovery from the\r\nice age, reports of medieval temperatures from a variety of sources, and\r\nrecords of tree rings and ice cores.\r\n<\/p> These previous findings, echoed by Keigwin's,\r\nare devastating to the theory of human-caused global warming. \r\n
If the Earth was significantly warmer\r\na thousand years ago, if we have been on a re-warming trend for three centuries,\r\nif, as other even more voluminous evidence suggests, the Earth has repeatedly\r\nseen mini-cycles of warming and cooling of about 1,500 years duration,\r\nthen any upward drift in temperatures we may be seeing now -- included\r\nscattered anecdotes of thinning arctic ice -- is likely to be the result\r\nof such cycles. \r\n<\/p> Thus the case for human-caused global warming\r\ncan no longer rest on the mere fact<\/i> of contemporary warming. \r\n
To justify drastic action like the Kyoto\r\ntreaty requiring a reduction in U.S. energy consumption of some 30 percent,\r\nunfeasible without destroying the U.S. economy, the human-caused global\r\nwarming advocates would have to demonstrate a persuasive mechanism of human\r\ncausation. This they show no sign of being able to do. \r\n
Grasping the point, scientists at Exxon\r\nMobil recently used the Keigwin data in a Wall Street Journal<\/i> ad\r\nand the PC bees hit the fan.\r\n<\/p> By all reasonable standards, Keigwin is\r\na hero. \r\n
Not only did he invent an ingenious way\r\nto compile an early temperature record, but he made a giant contribution\r\nto discrediting a movement that would impose a deadly energy clamp on the\r\nworld economy. \r\n
But soon enough his government-financed\r\ncolleagues began to exert pressure. \r\n
Was he a tool of the oil companies? \r\n
Lordy no, he wrote, in an indignant letter\r\nto Exxon Mobil, denying that his findings had anything much to do with\r\nthe global warming issue. \r\n<\/p> As the Wall Street Journal<\/i> reported,\r\n\"Dr. Keigwin warns that the results are not<\/i> representative of the\r\nEarth as a whole. He says that the importance of his research isn't in\r\nthe data per se, but rather that marine geologists can undertake such a\r\nstudy at all.... He wants to put the issue behind him.\" \r\n
Hey, he's got a new government grant to\r\nfind out \"what's causing a substantial warming in the Atlantic Ocean off\r\nNova Scotia.\" \r\n
He has not reached any conclusion -- but\r\naccording to the Journal,<\/i> \"he gives a nod to global warming concerns,\r\nsaying 'I'd take a guess.'\"\r\n<\/p> Scores of scientists have been pressured\r\nto embrace the cult pressures that befall any critic of the cult of human-caused\r\nglobal warming. \r\n
In a scientific establishment 50 percent\r\nfinanced by government, few can resist. \r\n
An eminent scientist who was once the\r\nleading critic of global warming had to stop writing on the subject in\r\norder to continue his research. \r\n
The source of the pressure that ended\r\nhis publications was then-Senator Al Gore. \r\n
Later this scientist coauthored a key\r\npaper with Arthur Robinson -- organizer of a petition against Kyoto signed\r\nby 17,000 scientists -- but had to remove his name under pressure from\r\nWashington.\r\n<\/p> Keigwin's denials of his own significance\r\nare all pathetically misleading. \r\n
The temperature pattern he found in the\r\nSargasso Sea is indeed a global phenomenon. \r\n
Sallie Baliunas and Willi Soon of Harvard\r\nhave uncovered a new oxygen isotope study that extends this temperature\r\nrecord another 3,000 years based on six millennia of evidence from peat\r\nbogs in northeastern China. \r\n
The peat bog records both confirm Keigwin\r\nand demonstrate an even warmer period that lasted for 2,000 years. \r\n
During this era, beginning some 4,000\r\nyears ago and running until the birth of Christ, temperatures averaged\r\nbetween 1.5 and 3 degrees Celsius higher than they do today. \r\n<\/p> Summing up the case is an article published\r\nearlier this year by Wallace Broecker in the prestigious pages of Science<\/i>\r\nentitled \"Was the Medieval Warm Period Global?\" His answer is a resounding\r\nyes. \r\n
As Craig and Keith Idso report in a March\r\n7 editorial on their Webpage,\r\nBroecker recounts substantial evidence for a series of climatic warmings\r\nspaced at roughly 1,500-year intervals. Broecker explains the science of\r\nreconstructing the histories of surface air temperatures by examining temperature\r\ndata from \"boreholes.\" From some 6,000 boreholes on all continents, this\r\nevidence confirms that the Earth was significantly warmer a thousand years\r\nago and two degrees Celsius warmer in Greenland. This data, Robinson warns,\r\nis less detailed and authoritative than the evidence from the Sargasso\r\nSea and from the Chinese peat bogs. \r\n
But together with the independent historical\r\nrecord, the collective evidence is irrefutable. Thousands of years of data\r\ndemonstrate that in the face of a few hundred parts per million increase\r\nin CO2, temperatures today, if anything, are colder than usual. \r\n
Temperatures in Antarctica, for example,\r\nhave been falling for the last 20 years. \r\n
The global satellite record of atmospheric\r\ntemperature, confirmed by weather balloons, shows little change one way\r\nor another for the last three decades. \r\n
Terrestrial temperature stations, on average,\r\nshow more warming over the past century, but many are located in areas\r\nthat were rural when the stations were established and are densely urban\r\ntoday, a change which causes local warming. \r\n
The dominance of natural cycles globally\r\nis not surprising since, as Baliunas and Soon report, the impact of changes\r\nin sun energy output are some 70,000 times more significant than all human\r\nactivity put together.\r\n<\/p> Overall, the situation is simple. \r\n
Politicized scientists with government\r\ngrants and dubious computer temperature models persuaded the world's politicians\r\nto make pompous fools of themselves in Kyoto. Socialist politicians were\r\nhappy to join an absurd movement to impose government regulations over\r\nthe world energy supply and thus over the world economy. The scientific\r\nclaims and computer models have now blown up in their faces. But rather\r\nthan admit error they persist in their fear-mongering. When this happened\r\nwith DDT, hundreds of millions of people died of malaria. They continue\r\nto die. How many people would die as a result of an energy clamp on global\r\ncapitalism?\r\n<\/p> From May, 2001 American\r\nSpectator article.<\/p><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n
References<\/b>\r\n
Still Waiting For Greenhouse http:\/\/www.john-daly.com\/\r\n
Global Warming Petition Project http:\/\/www.oism.org\/pproject\/s33p36.htm\r\n
CO2 Science Magazine http:\/\/www.co2science.org\/index.html\r\n
The Science & Environmental Policy Project\r\nhttp:\/\/www.sepp.org\/\r\n
Absorption of Carbon Dioxide from the atmosphere \r\nhttp:\/\/www.microtech.com.au\/daly\/co2-conc\/ahl-co2.htm\r\n
Proffessor Lindzen MIT http:\/\/www.cato.org\/pubs\/regulation\/reg15n2g.html\r\n<\/p>
http:\/\/home.austarnet.com.au\/yours\/Greenhouse_Bullcrap.htm\r\n<\/p> http:\/\/news.ninemsn.com.au\/sunday\/cover_stories\/article_159.asp\r\n
http:\/\/news.ninemsn.com.au\/sunday\/cover_stories\/article_161.asp\r\n
http:\/\/www.opinionjournal.com\/editorial\/feature.html?id=95000606\r\n
\r\nhttp:\/\/www.microtech.com.au\/daly\/co2-conc\/ahl-co2.htm\r\n
http:\/\/www.users.bigpond.com\/smartboard\/aginatur\/prog1.htm\r\n
http:\/\/www.nccnsw.org.au\/bushland\/bushtalk\/0071.html\r\n\r\n\r\n<\/p>\n","contact":"grant2812@hotmail.com","link":"http:\/\/home.austarnet.com.au\/yours\/Greenhouse_Bullcrap.htm","address":"Surfers Paradise Australia","phone":"","parent_id":0,"mime_type":"text\/html","summary":"A Scientist has been forced to deny his work because it disproves the Global Warming Theory - the Inquisition returns!!!!","numcomment":1,"fileurl":"\/uploads\/","filesize":null,"article_url":"\/news\/2002\/07\/17425.php"},"attachments":[],"comments":[{"id":17526,"heading":"a few poitns","article":"Although I am by no means an expert on global warming theory, I think several points you raise are irresponsible, wrong or unfair. \r\n\r\nOne relevant link you left off is the new EPA report which concludes, "While the changes observed over the last several decades are likely due mostly to human activities, we cannot rule out that some significant part is also a reflection of natural variability."\r\nhttp:\/\/www.epa.gov\/globalwarming\/publications\/car\/index.html\r\n\r\n> included scattered anecdotes of thinning arctic ice \r\n\r\nTo refer to this heavily reported phenomenon of the cracking of the arctic ice-shelf as a scattered anecdote is disingenuous.\r\nhttp:\/\/peaceconspiracy.org\/news\/stories\/article-2002020.html\r\n\r\n>To justify drastic action like the Kyoto treaty requiring a reduction in U.S. energy consumption of some 30 percent, unfeasible without destroying the U.S. economy\r\n\r\nIf global warmning were the only concern prompting environmentalists to call for energy consumption reduction, this comment would be fair here. However, pollution, limited fossil fuel reserves, health problems from ground level ozone increases, human rights abuses resulting from militarism over oil and many other concerns are factors.\r\n\r\n>In a scientific establishment 50 percent financed by government, few can resist. \r\n\r\nDon't forget that just fifteen years ago, the White House scoffed at ideas of global warming. Even under Clinton \/ Gore, we did not sign on to Kyoto. Clearly the government would like to have us thinking global warming is not a concern. Your own points about how reducing energy consumption could hurt our oil-addicted economy should indicate the government's bias lies in the other direction.\r\n\r\n>When this happened with DDT, hundreds of millions of people died of malaria. \r\n\r\nThis is a very confusing statistic. The DDT phase-out occured in the mid 1970s. The World Health Org. estimates that 1.5 - 2.7 million die each year from malaria, making the total number of deaths since any DDT phase-out of malaria 40 - 70 million worldwide. Whatever percentage of that you attribute to DDT phase-out your statistic would be off by at least a factor of ten. \r\n \r\n","author":"Nick Cooper","parent_id":17425,"mime_type":"text\/plain","created":"2002-07-06 16:03:45","modified":"2002-07-06 16:03:45","fileurl":""}]} |