THE RECALL
BY PETER MIGUEL CAMEJO
October 14, 2003
SYMPATHY & RESPECT
Because of the Green Party’s participation in the recall election we have
gained new respect and sympathy from millions of people in California and
throughout the United States.
The Green Party made history in the recall election on several levels. In
part because of the 5.3% of the vote we received in November 2002, and in
part because of the nature of the recall, we were immediately considered a
major candidate by the media.
This status resulted in a historic breakthrough. A third party gubernatorial
candidate was included in televised debates. The Green Party has reached
this status not because of any one specific event or candidate but because
of our overall following and successes in California.
DEBATE STRATEGY
The televised debates allowed millions to hear and see a Green candidate for
the first time. In the first debate on September 3rd, I decided against
trying too hard to make an impression. For instance, I avoided humor. This
was because many listeners expect a third party candidate to be peculiar,
unusual, shrill or single issue focused and desperately seeking attention.
We needed to appear exactly the opposite; sensible, serious, calm, and with
a clear message.
Many of you heard my closing remarks in that debate but you would not know
that I practiced them probably over 300 times. I worked it over word by word
so that it would be 60 seconds long and still touch on a large number of key
issues. As it turned out, we were given 2 minutes and so I added to the
message a bit as I presented it, including slowing my delivery down. But I
did not dare try too hard lest I lose the flow and impact. As it turned out,
I took 2.1 minutes.
In the September 24th debate that included Arnold, I was prepared to take a
more aggressive stance. My wife, Morella, advised me strongly against it. We
had a liaison committee with the Green Party of California leadership which
held conference calls to advise me before many of these key moments in the
campaign. In those discussions we made the crucial and correct decision not
to attack anyone.
We decided not to focus on Arnold, especially not to attack him in a manner
that could be perceived as a personal attack. Focusing on Arnold would make
him the center of attention and win him sympathy. Even though this cautious
strategy may have seemed too mild, it was better to differentiate only on
platform issues and keep the message focused. I thought before the debate
that the other four candidates would go into an attack mode. To my surprise,
Tom McClintock had apparently made a similar decision to avoid attacking
Arnold. Obviously Arianna made the opposite decision and tried to provoke
Arnold and expose him. In my view, this did not work well. If all the
candidates had stayed on message, the lack of substance in Arnold’s
responses would have been clearer. Instead he was judged on his ability to
handle the attacks.
As I walked off the stage after having been heard by possibly 20 million
people, I wasn’t sure how well I had come off. Then I saw the faces of the
young people who came rushing towards the front to shake my hand.
This decision on our part to stay focused and not make attacks turned out to
be one of the most important ones we made. I stayed focused on our basic
message and kept the image of the Green Party as serious and polite. There
was another policy I followed that had a very positive result for us. I made
an effort to give positive comments when another candidate made proposals or
points that we Greens feel were valid. Also, I tried to be generous in any
comments regarding the character or intentions of other candidates.
The media was at first quite confused by this. They are used to candidates
only being vicious to each other and trying to assign the worst possible
motive to whatever another candidate does or says. In the early weeks of the
campaign the media thought I must be planning to withdraw because I was
saying kind things about Arianna Huffington (more on Arianna later). When I
congratulated Cruz Bustamante for calling for public funding of campaigns,
for example, the media at first concluded that I must be considering
endorsing Bustamante.
By the last two debates I felt I had sufficient credibility to use more
humor. The media was starting to understand what I was doing and like the
public, reacted positively. The result is that in almost all polls rating my
performance in the debates, we came out quite well.
A San Francisco Chronicle web poll which rated debate performance showed us
in first place at 32%. This was well above all others, especially Arianna
who came in last at 8%. A more scientific poll of Democrats put us in first
place at 25% and declared us the winner over all others.
The campaign as a whole and the debates in particular won the Green Party
acceptance, respect and sympathy. We won some support and recruits, but on a
mass scale the sympathy was not yet strong enough to overcome the spoiler
factor and result in votes for us.
OUR VOTE DECLINES
It is surprising that after such massive and positive exposure our vote
declined from 5.3% to 2.8%. In the 2002 campaign people were convinced that
Gray Davis would win in spite of a projected vote of 3 to 4% for me. Many
polls showed that. Therefore people felt somewhat free to vote Green. Still,
we probably lost half of our vote due to the spoiler factor in 2002. This
time it was different. A kind of panic set in among many of the people most
likely to vote for us because of the fear of Arnold.
The Democrats have gained a reputation for dishonest campaigning. Davis is a
master of demonizing his opponent as a way to get people who dislike him to
vote for him. While he still succeeded in getting about half his vote from
people who think he is doing poorly, this time the demonization partially
backfired.
DEMOCRATS LIE ABOUT THE POLLS
The Democrats tried an outright lie at the end of the campaign. It was
primarily intended to mobilize their ranks but it was also a maneuver that
hurt our vote totals. In the last two days of the campaign, they began
announcing that they had polls showing that they were neck and neck with the
Republicans, both on the recall question and in the Bustamante vs
Schwarzenegger race.
Monday evening, the day before the election, I went on KPFK in Los Angeles
and as they hooked me in I heard Antonio Villaraigosa announcing that the
polls were exactly tied. I do not think Antonio was himself lying; he was
just repeating the lie fed to him by others. It is amazing how poll results
can be manipulated. I hope there is no one so naïve as to believe that the
voters were split 50/50 on Monday and then the next day Arnold wins by 16%,
48% to 32%, and Davis loses in the recall by 10%, 55% to 45%!
These lies that were spread far and wide by the media helped reduce our vote
further. There probably has never been an election with such a high number
of those who wanted to vote for us, but didn't. There is also another
phenomena that may be involved. I call it the third party curse in a
winner-take-all system. Once the “novelty” of a new party or candidate wears
off and supporters see that a third party candidate does not win, they stop
voting for you in spite of their support for your platform. Such people can
be won back in local races. And of course they would come back to us if we
had Instant Runoff Voting.
The political mistake made by those Green supporters who voted Democrat is
sad, because a large vote for the Greens would have given us power in
discussions with Democrats and Republicans. It would have strengthened the
chances for Green candidates to win local races. Green supporters who voted
Democrat wasted their vote even from the point of view of so-called
“strategic voting”. Strategic Voting is a new and polite term for
lesser-evil voting.
WHAT OUR VOTE REVEALS ABOUT OUR BASE
Some of the exit polls showed us with a larger vote than we actually
received, so some might be suspicious that perhaps our vote wasn’t fully
reported. It’s more likely that voters told pollsters how they wish they had
voted, not how they actually voted.
The exit polls show our support quite strong among young people. We were at
9% for 18 to 29 year old voters. African Americans were the strongest racial
group to vote for us at 6%, followed by Latinos at 5%. European-Americans
came in at 3%. People not registered Democrat or Republican gave us 8%. The
poorest people in California (below ,000 a year income) gave us the
highest vote of all income categories with 9%.
In gender we were split evenly. One poll showed that the more education
people have, the more they tend to vote for us. So who is a typical Green
Party voter? An underpaid but educated, 24 year old African American or
Latina who is registered Decline to State! The demographics of our support
continue to shift beyond our original base, which is primarily
European-American environmentalists and 60s progressives. Our initial base
is still critical to the Green Party’s efforts and activist core. We should
see our expansion as the early steps in becoming a truly mass party.
2004 ATTACK CAMPAIGN
We need to be aware that we will face a very difficult time over the next 13
months. The Democrats will launch an unfair campaign which is really against
democracy. They will attack the Green Party simply for running candidates.
The “Nader effect” from the 2000 Presidential election has become a standard
term now for Democrats. They use it as a way to oppose free elections and
blame the victim for their opposition to democracy. The level of dishonesty
and hypocrisy this shows is rarely appreciated. These Democrats have no
complaints when their leadership votes for a resolution calling for
“Unequivocal support for George Bush” or votes for the Patriot Act, or gives
repeated standing ovations to Bush’s State of the Union address with it’s
attacks on the rule of law. Instead they attack the Greens for supposedly
“helping” to elect Bush while they openly, politically support him.
In the recall election many Democrats could not see the hypocrisy in urging
Greens to drop out to prevent “spoilership”, but not calling for Tom
McClintock to drop out so that he wouldn’t “spoil” the race for
Schwarzenegger. In other words, they have no shame in trying to win against
the will of the people.
The worst mistake we could make is to bend to this pressure. Many Greens
will, many already have. In the recall election this phenomena was already
at work. Differences will be heightened among Greens regarding our approach
to this problem. All of this is normal. If it were not the case it would
mean we are not part of reality. Our task is to handle internal differences
in an extremely democratic manner, showing respect for all points of view,
especially minority views. Unlike the Democrats, we do not suppress
criticism but regard it as positive, part of a normal process.
One of the smartest moves the Green Party made was to compromise and allow
its members to disagree on the recall and not take a formal Party position,
which would have been very divisive. Events can some times lead to sharp
differences which then shift over time as people get a chance to think the
issues through or further events clarify the roots of the differences. We
will probably be arguing the recall issue for some time, but it is no longer
such a divisive danger now that it is in the past.
DEMOCRATIC PARTY FRONT ORGANIZATIONS
There is a web site called MoveOn.org that presents itself as progressive. I
believe it is nothing more than a Democratic Party organizing center,
allowing Democrats to keep progressive minded people co-opted to the
Democrats. They launched a campaign, as did Code Pink, against Arnold
Schwarzenegger’s attacks on women. But this campaign was directly linked to
a “Vote Democratic” campaign and therefore would not mention anything
negative about Democrats, specifically allegations that Gray Davis
intimidated and attacked women he worked with. The truth is that the real
purpose of both of these campaigns was to help the Democrats, no matter how
sincere many of the people were in their disgust with Schwarzenegger. I
attended one of these events and spoke at it. The content of the event,
sponsored by Code Pink, was overwhelmingly focused on defense of women’s
rights, inter mixed with some pro-Davis signs. Unlike MoveOn.org, Code Pink
tried to some extent to keep the two issues separated.
I understand MoveOn.org came out with a “Suddenly, I Love Gray Davis”
slogan. They are openly a front for the Democrats. They raised hundreds of
thousands of dollars and had a place for voters to sign pledging that they
would never vote for Schwarzenegger. Of course MoveOn will play a role in
mobilizing progressive voters to vote Democrat in 2004 as part of a “stop
Bush” movement, but you can bet your life they will not have a pledge
calling on voters to refuse to vote for anyone who voted “Unequivocal
support for George Bush”, because that would be most of the Democratic
Party’s leadership.
We can expect that Democratic Party controlled organizations like the Sierra
Club, NOW; MoveOn and many union leaders will all join in the attack on the
Green Party. In so doing they will show their failure to understand or
support democracy. Instead, they show their subservience to a corporate
controlled party. Their politics opens the door and helps facilitate
Republican victories. This is because Democrats always accept the premises
of the Republican platform, whether it is the so-called “war on terrorism”
or “energy deregulation”. The only thing they argue over is the nuts and
bolts of implementing this platform. It is these organizations and their
opposition to democracy that has historically blocked the development of any
effective opposition to corporate domination or the Republican agenda.
ARIANNA HUFFINGTON
When Arianna Huffington first announced her candidacy I saw it as a golden
opportunity for the Green Party. I immediately welcomed her into the race
and tried to form a working relationship so we would both campaign together
to promote the progressive agenda. But it quickly became clear to us that
she was not that interested in any serious relationship with the Green Party
or in holding joint campaign events.
In three of the first four debates I made positive comments about Arianna. I
thought it made our position stronger when asked about the death penalty,
for instance, if two candidates opposed it instead of just one. Arianna,
however, never said one word that was positive about our campaign or the
Green Party during the debates. In fact, in the first debate she twice
referred to Bustamante being “the Nader”, meaning a spoiler. Nevertheless,
most of her comments were excellent articulations of issues where we
completely agree with her.
The pressure began building on Arianna from the Democrats to pull out and
declare for the Democrats. Arianna capitulated in a manner that I thought
hurt the progressive movement. She literally became an operative of the Gray
Davis campaign. She had pictures of herself with Davis repeatedly shown on
TV. She flew with him on his private campaign jet and attended
get-out-the-vote Democratic Party union rallies. (By the way, as was
explained to me by one union leader, these rallies were failures in terms of
their turn out. Exit polls show 49% of Union members voted yes on the
recall).
Arianna formally represented the Democratic Party at the October 2nd debate
in Los Angeles. So, of course she could not say one word in criticism of
Democrats in that debate.
Arianna also joined with Senator Diane Feinstein and Dolores Huerta in
supporting Davis, but refusing to support Bustamante. That reflected the
conservative wing of the Democrats.
Arianna Huffington remains in agreement with the Green Party on many crucial
issues. And we should try to work with her and others who supported her,
where we have agreement. One of those issues is public financing of
campaigns. However, we have a problem with the wording of her proposed
ballot initiative on public funding. As written, it treats third parties as
second-class citizens. The proposal is written so that it will only really
fund Democrats and Republicans. We will have to oppose her campaign unless
the proposal is changed to be more like the laws in Maine or Arizona which
treat all candidates equally.
Did we make a mistake in giving her the benefit of the doubt when the
campaign began? Some Greens think so, but I think it was correct to welcome
her and try to win her over to fight the Republicans and Democrats. I don’t
think she understands the effects of her reversal, where she first opposed
Republicans and Democrats and then began supporting Gray Davis. In the end
this only helped Arnold Schwarzenegger win. When progressives who stand
independent of the Democrats capitulate and then support those Democrats, it
undermines the credibility of our current. In this case it weakened our
credibility and made voters more likely to express their anger by voting for
Arnold rather than voting Green or independent.
One of her books is titled, “Pigs at the Trough”. What Governor has put more
feed in the trough than Davis, who in the end she championed? The excuse, of
course, is that there is a Republican who is “worse”. Of course, there is
always a Republican who is worse.
Well what if it’s a “really bad” Republican? Do you get it? We are told that
our job is to vote for evil if the Republicans can come up with a really bad
candidate. That’s the whole point of the winner-take-all system. The mass of
the people gives up on building a political force which will defend their
interests because they have to stop evil by voting for more “reasonable”
evil. Even the most Machiavellian schemer couldn’t have come up with a more
devious system to keep people under control, while allowing them to think
that they chose the government. People not only vote against their own
interests, but some will argue against and even hate those who try to warn
them of their error. And they think they live in a democracy where elections
are fair and square. How many times did you hear the argument “ but Davis
won fair and square only a few months ago”?
And of course Arianna will argue that she didn’t support a candidate, she
opposed the recall. While many progressives, including a few Greens make
such an argument, I do not agree. The recall was a yes or no vote on Gray
Davis and that is how the mass of working people, minorities, and the poor
saw it. To vote no on the recall in their eyes was to condone the cut backs
in education and the pay to play policies of Gray Davis. The Democrats were
able to convince many people that it was all a Republican conspiracy, bought
and paid for by one millionaire. To believe that is to delude oneself. The
Republicans correctly noted the general rejection of Gray Davis and sought
to take advantage of it. They were hoping for a special election where few
voters, except Republicans, would show up. Instead, more voted in the recall
than in the previous regular election.
There are all kinds of progressive consequences from the recall. In trying
to get his base to save him, Davis had to sign many bills he had previously
opposed. These included the financial privacy act, driver’s licenses for the
undocumented, more rights for gays and lesbians and some environmental
issues. The debates opened up and millions heard a pro democracy message.
Young people suddenly became interested in politics and in general there was
an increased interest in political participation.
Arnold Schwarzenegger won, and most of his votes did not come from
Republicans! The Republicans ran two candidates. Daryl Issa at one point
even suggested he might vote against the recall (to stop Bustamante and keep
Davis). Their pro-recall campaign received about 1/3 the funding that the
anti-recall forces got. Most of the major Republican donors refused to give
to the recall. Some Republican conspiracy.
Paid signature gatherers have also been used for every progressive ballot
initiative in recent years. Right now, an effort is under way to reform the
Three Strikes law with an initiative that needs funding to gather
signatures, and they are looking for wealthy backers. The recall election
was far more complex than the Democratic “Republican Conspiracy” propaganda
line.
Since the recall passed, Governor Davis has vetoed a living wage bill and a
bill giving the children of undocumented workers the right to attend college
at the same rate as other residents of California. Of course, once again,
not a word of protest is heard from any Democratic Party leaders or their
so-called “labor leaders”. Imagine if it was Arnold who had vetoed a living
wage bill. The Democrats would all be howling in loud protest.
UNDERSTANDING THE DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS
Our party will not survive if we do not stand up to the Democrats. Once we
start urging votes for Democrats because Republicans appear to be worse, we
will go the way of the New Party, into oblivion. How fast people forget that
it was the Democratic Party that led us to war against Vietnam, killing two
million people, and it was the Republicans who ended that war. The people
who run the United States remain in power regardless of which of their
parties they put in charge at any one time. Their goal is to control and
appease popular pressure. When they see they can get a Republican elected,
they go for it. But if the people begin to protest, they bring the Democrats
in to co-opt, disorient and prepare the way for a return of the Republicans.
This dynamic is not a “conspiracy”, but is simply the nature of our
money-driven system. It is a feedback loop that is on automatic. Without
“liberal” and “progressive” Democrats, the usefulness of the Democrat Party
to their corporate rulers would be sharply diminished. They need the
Democrats to co-opt and thus de-mobilize mass social movements like the
civil rights, peace, women’s rights and labor movement.
Of course, individual Democrats can be affected by the pressure from below
to oppose some of the pro-corporate platform, and even feel sympathy towards
the Greens. In this election many of the people who voted for the Democrats
are quietly sympathizing with us. We must not betray that sympathy. They are
looking to us to be principled and in the end they will respect those who do
not waiver.
But most Democratic Party leaders who consider them selves progressive have
bought in to the idea that the best that can ever be done is to keep the
Democrats in power, and that is all the people should hope for. They believe
that any attempt to go against the Democrats is hopeless. Deep down, they
are defeatists who promote a “slave” mentality. Accept and please the master
or you will only anger them. Resistance is hopeless.
What they fail to see is the great power of the people. The power of money
is limited by the awareness, the consciousness of the people. The media
works day and night to confuse and disorient people so that they act against
their own self-interest. But the day-to-day reality of most people counters
the propaganda message of wealth.
The Green Party, on the other hand, is the electoral expression of living
mass movements, like the peace, women’s rights, gay and lesbian, social
justice, civil rights and civil liberties movements. Note that all of these
movements were built outside the Democratic Party and usually against them.
Democrats do all they can to weaken these movements and then to co-opt them,
get them off the streets and into the two party game. Once that is achieved,
the power of popular movements sharply declines. Greens work to keep these
movements independent and to increase the power of people. Our elected
officials work to defend the majority and increase the power of the
environmental, labor and other movements.
Above all, we Greens are fighting to save the earth. The Green Party stands
as a genuine force for democracy, free of the influence of money. The Green
Party truly defends our Bill of Rights and the rule of law. We do not waiver
or lower our banners because others panic. If we cannot show confidence in
ourselves, we can never win masses of people to rally behind us. Time and
history are with us. The next generation must see people who stand firm by
their principles. The youth who vote for us today will be tomorrow’s leaders
in all the major social movements. We are planting the seeds; they must be
watered, not trampled. We made one more step forward in this campaign. Keep
our beautiful Green flag waving high and proud!
---
http://www.votecamejo.org
http://www.cagreens.org/
http://www.sfgreenparty.org/
Can't help wondering if the Greens are really part of the One World Order system, being they are so pro-UN. They say they are for Bill of Rights, but does that mean the second ammendment. Camejo did well in the debates, which shows that the best candidates get shoved to the bottom of the system. He brought up issues we needed to hear, and it was wonderful exposure for those issues for whichever side you are on. Arnold should not be governor, and it proves you have to be in the Bohemian group, CFR, Rhodes Scholar or some other One World Order group. People voted for him simply because he said he would not raise taxes. This is always a big seller, but the Republicans have lied many times about this. Arnold has many lies stacking up already concerning his campaign contributions. He wants to get Federal funding from the debt written Federal funds. He has also surrounded himself with political insiders, which is what he said he wasn't about.
Let's face it! There is a group of liberals mostly white males who just love Arnold. They are pleased now the Republicans have a liberal governor, and have been waiting for this for some time.